econommgouВестник Государственного университета просвещения. Серия: ЭкономикаBulletin of the State University of Education. Series: Economics2949-50402949-5024State University of Education10.18384/2949-5024-2024-2-6-17econommgou-1121Research ArticleЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ ТЕОРИЯECONOMIC THEORYВлияние региональных интеграционных соглашений на благосостояние стран-участницRegional trade agreements and the welfare of member countriesДемчукВ. А.DemchukV. A.

Демчук Валентина Артуровна – кандидат экономических наук, доцент кафедры английского языка № 4, старший преподаватель кафедры математики, эконометрики и информационных технологий

119454, г. Москва, пр-т Вернадского, д. 76

Valentina А. Demchuk – Cand. Sci. (Economics), Assoc. Prof., English Language Department #4, senior lecturer, Department of Mathematics, Econometrics and Information Technology

ul. Vernadskogo 76, Moscow 119454

v.demchuk@inno.mgimo.ruМосковский государственный институт международных отношений (университет) Министерства иностранных дел Российской ФедерацииРоссияMoscow State Institute of International Relations of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of RussiaRussian Federation20240606202402616Copyright © Демчук В.А., 20242024Демчук В.А.Demchuk V.A.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.economicsmgou.ru/jour/article/view/1121Цель

Цель. Целью данной работы является оценка влияния заключения региональных торговых соглашений (РТС) на благосостояние стран, выраженное в ВВП на душу населения.

Процедура и методы

Процедура и методы. Автор проанализировал научные труды и обнаружил, что оценка последствий заключения региональных торговых соглашений неоднозначна. В исследовании применены методы обобщения, интерпретации результатов и корреляционный анализ.

Результаты

Результаты. Анализ исследований выявил серьёзные расхождения в оценке влияния заключения РТС на благосостояние населения. Проведённый корреляционный анализ с выборкой в количестве 196 стран показал, что число заключённых страной региональных торговых соглашений прямо взаимосвязано с ВВП на душу населения, при этом коэффициент корреляции составляет 0,5. Не выявлено наличия корреляции между количеством РТС и темпами прироста ВВП на душу.

Теоретическая и/или практическая значимость. Полученные результаты показывают, что необходим более дифференцированный анализ интеграционной практики (РТС); в практической деятельности безусловно позитивная оценка интеграции должна смениться более взвешенным и сдержанным подходом.

Aim

Aim. This paper examines the impact of regional trade agreements on the welfare of member countries.

Methodology

Methodology. In academic literature the results of the assessment of the consequences of concluding trade agreements for both individual companies and the countries involved are mixed. The main methods of research are observation, synthesis, interpretation of results and correlation analysis.

Results

Results. A literature review has shown that the results of the assessment of trade agreements’ impact on welfare are mixed. The results of analysis with a sample of 196 countries showed that the number of regional trade agreements of which a country is a member is correlated with GDP per capita in the country, with the correlation coefficient being 0.5. However, there was find no correlation between the number of trade agreements and the GDP per capita growth rate in the countries analyzed.

Research implications

Research implications. The results obtained show that a more differentiated analysis of the impact of trade agreements is needed. In practice, an unquestionably positive assessment of integration should be replaced by a more balanced approach.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.