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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">econommgou</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Вестник Государственного университета просвещения. Серия: Экономика</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Bulletin of the State University of Education. Series: Economics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2949-5040</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2949-5024</issn><publisher><publisher-name>State University of Education</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">econommgou-796</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Сценарное планирование развития региональных отраслевых комплексов
как инструмент предотвращения негативных последствий кризиса
«Scenari o planning of development of regi onal branch
complexes as the tool of prevention of negativ e consequences
of crisis »
«SCENARIO PLANNING OF DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL BRANCH
COMPLEXES AS THE TOOL OF PREVENTION OF NEGATIVE CONSEQUENCES
OF CRISIS»
«SCENARIO PLANNING OF DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL BRANCH
COMPLEXES AS THE TOOL OF PREVENTION OF NEGATIVE CONSEQUENCES
OF CRISIS»</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>SCENARIO PLANNING OF DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONAL BRANCH
COMPLEXES AS THE TOOL OF PREVENTION OF NEGATIVE CONSEQUENCES
OF CRISIS</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Гайсин</surname><given-names>Тимур Флорисович</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Gaisin</surname><given-names>T. F.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">tgaisin@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Казанский государственный финансово-экономический инс-
титут</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>GOY VPO Kazan State-run
Finance-Economic Institute</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2009</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>23</day><month>12</month><year>2022</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>3</fpage><lpage>9</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Гайсин Т.Ф., 2022</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2022</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Гайсин Т.Ф.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Gaisin T.F.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.economicsmgou.ru/jour/article/view/796">https://www.economicsmgou.ru/jour/article/view/796</self-uri><abstract/><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Estimation and forecasting of social and economic development is among the problems
which decision is of great importance for functioning of economy of any country.
Now in Russia necessary scientific maintenance of scenario planning is created, and the
Government of the Russian Federation has passed to working out of scientifically wellfounded
intermediate term scenarios of development of a national economy and regions.
However developed scenarios concern usually only two variants:Inertial and innovative.
Working out of scenarios of functioning of economy in the conditions of crisis is
absent. At crisis approach especially it affects economy of regions and development of
territorially - branch complexes. In article« Scenario planning of development of regional
branch complexes as the tool of prevention of negative consequences of crisis »the estimation
is given scenario planning of economy of regions of Russia, the effective tools used
at scenario planning which application is necessary for using for prevention of failures
in work in a crisis situation. The special attention in article is given working out of lookahead
scenarios of social and economic development of branch regional complexes, and
also application in scenario planning of the mathematical models developed in Russia.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>сценарное планирование</kwd><kwd>социально-экономическое раз- витие</kwd><kwd>кризис</kwd><kwd>экономика региона</kwd><kwd>прогнозный сценарий</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>scenario planning</kwd><kwd>socio-economic development</kwd><kwd>crisis</kwd><kwd>economy of region</kwd><kwd>prognosis scenario</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">www.citystrategy.ieontief.ru</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">www.citystrategy.ieontief.ru</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit2"><label>2</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ахременко А.С. Политическое планирование: сценарный метод: Учебное пособие./М., 2004.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ахременко А.С. Политическое планирование: сценарный метод: Учебное пособие./М., 2004.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit3"><label>3</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Лотман Ю.М. Искусство жизни // Лотман Ю.М. Беседы о русской культуре: Быт и традиции русского дворянства (XVIII - начало XIX века). - СПб.: Искусство - СПб, 1994. - С.183.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Лотман Ю.М. Искусство жизни // Лотман Ю.М. Беседы о русской культуре: Быт и традиции русского дворянства (XVIII - начало XIX века). - СПб.: Искусство - СПб, 1994. - С.183.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit4"><label>4</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ю.Л. Воробьёв, М.И. Фалеев, Г.Г. Малинецкий и др. Кризисы в современной России и систе- ма научного мониторинга. Публикация РАН http://www.voskres.ru/articles/monitoring.htm</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ю.Л. Воробьёв, М.И. Фалеев, Г.Г. Малинецкий и др. Кризисы в современной России и систе- ма научного мониторинга. Публикация РАН http://www.voskres.ru/articles/monitoring.htm</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit5"><label>5</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ю.Л. Воробьёв, М.И. Фалеев, Г.Г. Малинецкий и др. Кризисы в современной России и систе- ма научного мониторинга. Публикация РАН http://www.voskres.ru/articles/monitoring.htm</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ю.Л. Воробьёв, М.И. Фалеев, Г.Г. Малинецкий и др. Кризисы в современной России и систе- ма научного мониторинга. Публикация РАН http://www.voskres.ru/articles/monitoring.htm</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit6"><label>6</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ахременко А.С. Политическое планирование: сценарный метод: Учебное пособие./М., 2004.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ахременко А.С. Политическое планирование: сценарный метод: Учебное пособие./М., 2004.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit7"><label>7</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Лотман Ю.М. Искусство жизни // Лотман Ю.М. Беседы о русской культуре: Быт и традиции русского дворянства (XVIII - начало XIX века). - СПб.: Искусство - СПб, 1994. - С.183.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Лотман Ю.М. Искусство жизни // Лотман Ю.М. Беседы о русской культуре: Быт и традиции русского дворянства (XVIII - начало XIX века). - СПб.: Искусство - СПб, 1994. - С.183.</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref><ref id="cit8"><label>8</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ю.Л. Воробьёв, М.И. Фалеев, Г.Г. Малинецкий и др. Кризисы в современной России и система научного мониторинга. Публикация РАН http://www.voskres.ru/articles/monitoring.htm</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Ю.Л. Воробьёв, М.И. Фалеев, Г.Г. Малинецкий и др. Кризисы в современной России и система научного мониторинга. Публикация РАН http://www.voskres.ru/articles/monitoring.htm</mixed-citation></citation-alternatives></ref></ref-list><fn-group><fn fn-type="conflict"><p>The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.</p></fn></fn-group></back></article>
