Evaluation of Scientific-Technological Programs and Projects of the Full Innovation Cycle During Their Selection and Implementation based on the Application of Scientific-Technological Forecasting Results

Aim. To consider the possibilities of applying the results of scientific-technological forecasting in assessing scientific-technological programs and projects of the full innovation cycle.

Methodology. Methods of system analysis, comparison, generalization, induction and deduction were used in the research.

Results. The authors reveal the features of project management of the full innovation cycle, the criteria that are used in the selection of projects and the results of scientific-technological forecasting that can be used for assessment in the selection and implementation of projects. The features of the formation of scientific and technological forecasts and their main results are shown. The aspects of assessing the progress of projects by the level of technology readiness are considered. The technology of forecasting the level of equipment and technologies readiness for various development scenarios is shown. The methodology of choosing the best management decisions for the development of the project based on the forecast of the technologies readiness level and evaluation of management decisions effectiveness for various development scenarios is given.

Research implications. The theoretical significance of the article lies in the development of scientific and methodological recommendations on the use of the results of scientific and technological forecasting for the implementation of the selection and evaluation of the feasibility of projects of the full innovation cycle. The study has practical significance, which consists in applying the results of cognitive forecasting when choosing projects for implementation, as well as assessing the feasibility of these projects, which will allow more efficient use of budget funds allocated for the development of projects of the full innovation cycle.

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