Preview

Bulletin of the State University of Education. Series: Economics

Advanced search

Methodology of risk assessment in the development of the agro-industrial complex of the region

https://doi.org/10.18384/2949-5024-2025-3-23-31

Abstract

Aim. To develop a methodology for quantifying the likelihood of risks in the development of the agro-industrial complex of the region.
Methodology. The research used methods of analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, comparison, and a systematic approach.
Results. Based on mathematical logic, a methodology has been developed for quantifying the degree of risks associated with the components of the development of the agro-industrial complex of the region, which are significantly susceptible to risks, with further determination of the total probability of risk in the development of the agro-industrial complex of the region.
Research implications. The methodology is intended for researchers of the problems of agroindustrial complex development in the regions of Russia. The results of the application of the author’s methodology for analyzing statistical data will serve as reliable information in substantiating the problems (threats) and prospects for the development of the agro-industrial complex in the regions of Russia.

About the Author

M. Arzumanyan
Krasnoyarsk State Agrarian University
Russian Federation

Misak S. Arzumanyan (Krasnoyarsk) – Cand. Sci. (Economy), State, Municipal Management and Personnel Policy Department, Institute of Economics and Management of Agriculture



References

1. Bezdenezhnykh, V. M., Botasheva, L. H. & Alizada, D. F. (2020). Methodology for Risk Assessment of Agribusiness Enterprises: Content and Algorithm of Implementation for Modeling Purposes. In: Regional Economic Issues, 2 (43), 236–245 (in Russ.).

2. Butorin, S. N. (2022). Innovative Rural Development as an Opportunity to Ensure Food Security. In: Theory and Practice of World Science, 2, 28–33 (in Russ.).

3. Volkov, I. V., Vozhdaeva, N. G. & Gruzdev, G. V. (2024). New Approaches to Risk Assessment in Agribusiness Organizations. In: Bulletin NGIEI, 2 (153), 72–81. DOI: 10.24412/2227-9407-2024-2-72-81 (in Russ.).

4. Volkova, L. D. & Lamonova, V. D. (2022). Financial Assessment of Bankruptcy Risk of AIC Organization. In: Science and Education, 5, 2. URL: https://opusmgau.ru/index.php/see/ar-ticle/view/4654 (accessed: 10.07.2025) (in Russ.).

5. Zemlyakova, S. N., Fetyuhina, O. N. & Semikolenova, M. N. (2024). Methodological Aspects of the Assessment of Management Risks of the Internal Control System of Enterprises of the Agro-Industrial Complex. In: Management Accounting, 4, 55–62 (in Russ.).

6. Kadykova, A. D. (2024). Analysis of Environmental Risks in the Environmental Assessment of Agricultural Organizations. In: Economics, Management, Business in the Modern World: Current Issues and Development Prospects: Proceedings of the All-Russian Scientific Conference (Tver, May 21, 2024). Tver: Universitetskaya kniga publ., pp. 60–66 (in Russ.).

7. Bocharova, O. F., Klochkov, N. I., Movchan, D. A. & Yashkov M. S. (2022). Assessment of Indicators of the Financial State of AIC Organizations to Identify Signs of a Risk of Bankruptcy. In: Natural-Humanitarian Studies, 4 (42), 67–73 (in Russ.).

8. Shamin, E. A., Shkilev, N. P., Frolova, O. A. & Nechaeva, M. L. (2022). Development and Testing of a Set of Measures to Ensure Sustainable Development of the Agro-Industrial Complex and Rural Areas. In: Bulletin NGIEI, 12 (139), 89–101. DOI: 10.24412/2227-9407-2022-12-89-101 (in Russ.).

9. Razuvaev, R. A. & Tsatsulin, A. N. (2022). What Are the Immediate Prospects for the Implementation of Innovative Activity of the Domestic Agro-Industrial Complex. In: Administrative Consulting, 3, 95–107. DOI: 10.22394/1726-1139-2022-3-95-107 (in Russ.).

10. Saltanova, A. G. (2020). Innovative and Investment Projects of the Agroindustrial Complex. Risk and Efficiency Assessment. In: Economic Aspects of Industrial Development in the Transition to a Digital Economy: Proceedings of the All-Russian Scientific Conference (Ufa, December 25, 2020). Ufa: Vestnik nauki publ., 87–90 (in Russ.).

11. Chatkina, E., Kazakova, N. A. (2024). Risk Factor Analysis and Sustainability Assessment of Aic Development Under Sanctions. In: Finance: Theory and Practice. 2, 28, 166–177. DOI: 10.26794/2587-5671-2024-28-2-166-177 (in Russ.).

12. Sharonova, E. V., Kotar, O. A. & Pavlik, A. S. (2022). Assessment of Investment Risk as an Element of Investment Audit of Agro-Industrial Complex Organizations. In: Agrarian Conferences, 1 (31), 21–33 (in Russ.).


Review

Views: 11


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2949-5040 (Print)
ISSN 2949-5024 (Online)